Advancing America’s Prosperity
The United States stands at a pivotal moment in economic policymaking. Sweeping domestic legislation changes, rising geopolitical tensions, and rapid advances in artificial intelligence have fueled a high degree of uncertainty about economic conditions, for both households and businesses. These developments also raise urgent questions about how best to safeguard and advance America’s prosperity and ...
Remarks at Can We Get Through the Demographic Crunch?
On November 5, 2025, AESG Policy Director Luke Pardue provided remarks during a panel discussion hosted by the American Enterprise Institute: Can We Get Through the Demographic Crunch? The Implications of the 2025 OECD Employment Report. A recording of the full event can be found here: Pardue’s slides can be downloaded here.
Top 12 Charts of 2025 from the AESG
Happy holidays from the Aspen Economic Strategy Group! Thank you for your continued interest and support of our work. As a group devoted to advancing evidence-based economic policy, we appreciate the powerful role that charts play in telling the story of our economy. Enjoy twelve figures that showcase the AESG’s work in 2025! Figure 1: ...
Low Fertility and Fiscal Sustainability: The Effects of Past and Future Fertility Rates on the US Federal Budget Outlook
Low fertility and population aging have shaped the US federal government’s spending and revenue patterns, contributing significantly to the large and growing federal debt, which the CBO projects will grow from 98 percent of GDP in 2024 to over 150 percent by 2055. In Low Fertility and Fiscal Sustainability: The Effects of Past and Future ...
Demographic Headwinds: The Economic Consequences of Lower Birth Rates and Longer Lives
The United States is experiencing a significant demographic shift as fertility decreases and the nation’s aging population grows. The AESG’s latest series, Demographic Headwinds: The Economic Consequences of Lower Birth Rates and Longer Lives, considers the long-term economic impact posed by the country’s falling birth rate and aging population, including the effects on the US labor ...
Introduction: Building a More Resilient US Economy
The post-pandemic US economy features a strong labor market but also persistent inflation, rising levels of debt, and acute educational challenges. These issues are compounded by ongoing, systemic difficulties: domestic and global, economic and political. This policy volume considers these topics and others, with a thematic focus on building a more resilient US economy. The ...
Where Is China’s Economy Headed?
The arc of the Chinese economy over the next 10 to 15 years will depend on three sets of forces, each of which interacts with the others: (1) Domestically, the internal political economy will determine the relationship between the state and the market. (2) Externally, the relationship between China as a nation and the US-led ...
Manufacturing Resilience: The US Drive to Reorder Global Supply Chains
Global supply chains—the network through which products and services move from initial producers to final consumers—have become increasingly complex over the past several decades. Recent disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, along with the threat of further interruptions from rising geopolitical risks, have exposed the fragility of today’s supply chains. To build more resilient networks, ...